Capital Cities Face a Shifting Housing Landscape

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

This new data also highlights a considerable increase in the number of homes being listed for sale in both Sydney and Melbourne. Listings in Sydney alone rose by 6.7% compared to the same period last year, while Melbourne saw a more modest increase of 1.1%.

Eliza Owen from CoreLogic attributes this shift to changing market dynamics. "This time of the year is typically slow in terms of demand, but this goes beyond seasonality," she explains. According to Owen, the increase in listings and the apparent lack of eager buyers may be early indicators of growing mortgage stress among homeowners.

Owen suggests, "There’s less appetite from buyers, but more sellers are coming into the market, which could indicate rising mortgage stress." This sentiment is echoed by Cate Bakos, a buyer's agent in Melbourne, who believes, "Prices can’t be expected to grow while we have higher stock levels and weaker buyer demand."

Interestingly, Brisbane and Perth have reported a deceleration in dwelling value growth, maintaining a rate of just 0.3% over the past four weeks. Such trends suggest a potential buyers’ market, particularly in Brisbane, where supply has surged and demand has slowed, according to Zoran Solano of Hot Property Buyers Agency. "For me as a buyer’s agent, it’s a positive sign that the power has shifted back a little bit towards buyers," she observes.

Further analysis from The Australian Financial Review indicates that property values in Brisbane are declining in one out of seven suburbs, the highest rate in almost two years. CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless sees this as a sign that prices may continue to ease due to increased listings, reduced interstate migration, and affordability challenges. "The market is likely to continue to ease, and we could see prices moving into a subtle decline before interest rates come down," he remarks.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver predicts a similar trend, highlighting Brisbane as a market where values might soon turn negative, following the pattern seen in Sydney and Melbourne. "Brisbane looks to me like a really soggy market and I wouldn’t be surprised if house prices go negative in the next couple of months," Oliver comments.

Oliver also suggests that potential interest rate cuts could reverse this downward trajectory. "A rate cut could turn that downward momentum around, so if it occurs in February it has the potential to head off a dip into negative territory for Brisbane prices," he explains, warning that delays in rate cuts might extend the price downturn.

Meanwhile, PropTrack notes an 80% spike in Brisbane home values since the pandemic’s onset in March 2020, which has positioned Brisbane as Australia’s second most expensive housing market by median value. However, rising prices, slowing migration, and worsening affordability may soon turn Brisbane into the latest domino to fall in the nation’s housing saga.

Published:Tuesday, 28th Jan 2025
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Understanding the Impact of RBA's Latest Rate Hike on Your Mortgage

07 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has implemented its third consecutive 0.25 percentage point increase, elevating the cash rate to 4.35%. This decision is set to influence mortgage repayments across the nation, with major banks passing on the rate hike to their variable home loan customers. - read more

Westpac Faces Declining Mortgage Market Share in Competitive Landscape

07 May 2026: Paige Estritori

Recent data from the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) indicates that Westpac has experienced a significant decline in its share of the Australian mortgage market. Since March 2019, the bank's market share has decreased by 3.2 percentage points, now standing at 20.7% of the nation's $2.46 trillion mortgage market. - read more

Anticipated Slowdown in New Mortgage Demand Following RBA Rate Increase

07 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent rate hike is projected to further dampen the appetite for new home loans. Data from Equifax indicates a clear loss of momentum among prospective borrowers, with new mortgage demand slowing sharply from a 10.9% year-on-year rise in Q4 2025 to just 3.6% in Q1 2026. - read more

MitchCap Joins Forces with BIA and BIAV to Elevate Marine Industry Financial Acumen

06 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian marine industry is set to benefit from a significant boost in financial literacy and support, thanks to a new partnership between MitchCap, the Boating Industry Association (BIA), and the Boating Industry Association of Victoria (BIAV). This collaboration introduces the Industry Financial Skills and Awareness Program, designed to enhance the financial acumen of marine businesses nationwide. - read more

Club Marine Introduces Land-Based Insurance Coverage for Race Boats

06 May 2026: Paige Estritori

Club Marine, Australia's leading boat insurance provider underwritten by Allianz, has expanded its offerings to include specific coverage for race boats while they are on land. This development comes through a new partnership with the Australian Offshore Powerboat Club (AOPC), aiming to address the unique insurance needs of race boat owners during storage and transit. - read more

Click for more Finance News