Capital Cities Face a Shifting Housing Landscape

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

This new data also highlights a considerable increase in the number of homes being listed for sale in both Sydney and Melbourne. Listings in Sydney alone rose by 6.7% compared to the same period last year, while Melbourne saw a more modest increase of 1.1%.

Eliza Owen from CoreLogic attributes this shift to changing market dynamics. "This time of the year is typically slow in terms of demand, but this goes beyond seasonality," she explains. According to Owen, the increase in listings and the apparent lack of eager buyers may be early indicators of growing mortgage stress among homeowners.

Owen suggests, "There’s less appetite from buyers, but more sellers are coming into the market, which could indicate rising mortgage stress." This sentiment is echoed by Cate Bakos, a buyer's agent in Melbourne, who believes, "Prices can’t be expected to grow while we have higher stock levels and weaker buyer demand."

Interestingly, Brisbane and Perth have reported a deceleration in dwelling value growth, maintaining a rate of just 0.3% over the past four weeks. Such trends suggest a potential buyers’ market, particularly in Brisbane, where supply has surged and demand has slowed, according to Zoran Solano of Hot Property Buyers Agency. "For me as a buyer’s agent, it’s a positive sign that the power has shifted back a little bit towards buyers," she observes.

Further analysis from The Australian Financial Review indicates that property values in Brisbane are declining in one out of seven suburbs, the highest rate in almost two years. CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless sees this as a sign that prices may continue to ease due to increased listings, reduced interstate migration, and affordability challenges. "The market is likely to continue to ease, and we could see prices moving into a subtle decline before interest rates come down," he remarks.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver predicts a similar trend, highlighting Brisbane as a market where values might soon turn negative, following the pattern seen in Sydney and Melbourne. "Brisbane looks to me like a really soggy market and I wouldn’t be surprised if house prices go negative in the next couple of months," Oliver comments.

Oliver also suggests that potential interest rate cuts could reverse this downward trajectory. "A rate cut could turn that downward momentum around, so if it occurs in February it has the potential to head off a dip into negative territory for Brisbane prices," he explains, warning that delays in rate cuts might extend the price downturn.

Meanwhile, PropTrack notes an 80% spike in Brisbane home values since the pandemic’s onset in March 2020, which has positioned Brisbane as Australia’s second most expensive housing market by median value. However, rising prices, slowing migration, and worsening affordability may soon turn Brisbane into the latest domino to fall in the nation’s housing saga.

Published:Tuesday, 28th Jan 2025
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

South Australia's Initiative to Abolish Stamp Duty for Senior Downsizers

23 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

The South Australian government has announced a proposal to eliminate stamp duty for residents aged 60 and over who choose to downsize to newly built homes. This initiative aims to encourage seniors to move into more suitable housing, thereby freeing up larger family homes and increasing housing availability. - read more

Western Australia Experiences Significant Rise in First-Home Buyer Loans

23 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

Western Australia has witnessed a substantial increase in new home loans, with a 26.6% rise in the December 2025 quarter compared to the previous three months. This growth is largely attributed to first-home buyers taking advantage of expanded federal government support schemes. - read more

Brisbane's First-Home Buyers Turn to Rentvesting Amid Housing Challenges

23 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

In the face of escalating property prices and limited housing availability, Brisbane's first-home buyers are increasingly adopting a strategy known as 'rentvesting.' This approach involves purchasing more affordable properties in less expensive areas while continuing to rent in their preferred locations. - read more

Manuka Resources Set to Resume Gold and Silver Production in 2026

22 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

Manuka Resources Limited (ASX:MKR) has unveiled plans to recommence gold and silver production at its Wonawinta and Mt Boppy operations in the second quarter of 2026. This strategic move marks a significant milestone in the company's efforts to revitalise its mining activities and capitalise on favourable market conditions. - read more

Housing Australia Future Fund Approves 900 New Homes

22 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

The Housing Australia Future Fund (HAFF), established by the Australian government, has made significant strides in addressing the nation's housing affordability crisis. As of 2025, the fund has approved approximately 900 new social and affordable homes, marking a substantial contribution to increasing housing supply for Australians in need. - read more

Click for more Finance News