Capital Cities Face a Shifting Housing Landscape

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

This new data also highlights a considerable increase in the number of homes being listed for sale in both Sydney and Melbourne. Listings in Sydney alone rose by 6.7% compared to the same period last year, while Melbourne saw a more modest increase of 1.1%.

Eliza Owen from CoreLogic attributes this shift to changing market dynamics. "This time of the year is typically slow in terms of demand, but this goes beyond seasonality," she explains. According to Owen, the increase in listings and the apparent lack of eager buyers may be early indicators of growing mortgage stress among homeowners.

Owen suggests, "There’s less appetite from buyers, but more sellers are coming into the market, which could indicate rising mortgage stress." This sentiment is echoed by Cate Bakos, a buyer's agent in Melbourne, who believes, "Prices can’t be expected to grow while we have higher stock levels and weaker buyer demand."

Interestingly, Brisbane and Perth have reported a deceleration in dwelling value growth, maintaining a rate of just 0.3% over the past four weeks. Such trends suggest a potential buyers’ market, particularly in Brisbane, where supply has surged and demand has slowed, according to Zoran Solano of Hot Property Buyers Agency. "For me as a buyer’s agent, it’s a positive sign that the power has shifted back a little bit towards buyers," she observes.

Further analysis from The Australian Financial Review indicates that property values in Brisbane are declining in one out of seven suburbs, the highest rate in almost two years. CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless sees this as a sign that prices may continue to ease due to increased listings, reduced interstate migration, and affordability challenges. "The market is likely to continue to ease, and we could see prices moving into a subtle decline before interest rates come down," he remarks.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver predicts a similar trend, highlighting Brisbane as a market where values might soon turn negative, following the pattern seen in Sydney and Melbourne. "Brisbane looks to me like a really soggy market and I wouldn’t be surprised if house prices go negative in the next couple of months," Oliver comments.

Oliver also suggests that potential interest rate cuts could reverse this downward trajectory. "A rate cut could turn that downward momentum around, so if it occurs in February it has the potential to head off a dip into negative territory for Brisbane prices," he explains, warning that delays in rate cuts might extend the price downturn.

Meanwhile, PropTrack notes an 80% spike in Brisbane home values since the pandemic’s onset in March 2020, which has positioned Brisbane as Australia’s second most expensive housing market by median value. However, rising prices, slowing migration, and worsening affordability may soon turn Brisbane into the latest domino to fall in the nation’s housing saga.

Published:Tuesday, 28th Jan 2025
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

What Personal Loan Comparisons Mean for Jetski Finance

25 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Canstar’s latest personal loan coverage is a useful reminder for Australians planning a lifestyle purchase: the cheapest-looking loan is not always the lowest-cost option once fees, loan terms and repayment flexibility are considered. While the guidance is written for personal loans broadly, it has clear relevance for buyers considering jetski loans, especially when a personal watercraft is being financed outside a dedicated marine loan. - read more

Why ATO Interest Changes Matter for Small Business Finance

25 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australian small businesses carrying tax debt face a sharper cash flow test as the after-tax cost of ATO interest becomes harder to absorb. From the 2025-26 income year, general interest charge and shortfall interest charge amounts incurred on tax debts are no longer deductible. For SMEs that have relied on payment plans as a temporary buffer, the change makes delayed tax payments more expensive in real terms. - read more

Why Towing Safety Should Shape Your Caravan Buying Budget

25 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Recent towing-safety coverage across Australia’s motoring media is a useful reminder that choosing a caravan is not only about layout, appliances and off-grid features. For buyers planning to finance a new or used van, the safety numbers can be just as important as the purchase price. A caravan that looks affordable on paper may still become a poor fit if it pushes a tow vehicle beyond its practical limits or forces costly upgrades after settlement. - read more

Fixed Home Loan Discounts Give Refinancers Fresh Options

25 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

A fresh round of fixed home loan discounting is giving Australian mortgage holders another reason to reassess their current deal, even as uncertainty remains around the next move from the Reserve Bank of Australia. Recent rate-tracking across the market shows more lenders sharpening fixed-rate offers, particularly across shorter terms, as competition for quality borrowers continues to build. - read more

Better Seasonal Prospects Bring Fresh Finance Decisions for Farmers

24 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s farm sector is entering a more optimistic patch, with recent agricultural outlooks pointing to stronger production prospects across parts of the cropping and livestock industries. Better seasonal conditions, improved soil moisture in several growing regions and more stable livestock markets are helping rebuild confidence after a difficult period marked by dry weather, volatile commodity prices and elevated input costs. - read more

Click for more Finance News