OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.

The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.

The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.

: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.

As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.

Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Westpac’s August Rate Hike Warning Puts Refinancers on Notice

11 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Westpac has sharpened its warning that the Reserve Bank of Australia could lift the cash rate again at its August meeting, adding another layer of uncertainty for mortgage holders already managing higher repayments. The bank remains the only major lender group expecting an August increase, while CommBank, NAB and ANZ currently see the present hiking cycle as having run its course. - read more

Why Xero’s Ultra Launch Matters for Growing Business Borrowers

10 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Xero’s launch of Ultra for Australian businesses is more than a software update. It points to a bigger shift in the way growing small and medium-sized enterprises are expected to manage their finances, report performance and prepare for future funding needs. - read more

Record June Car Sales Signal a New Finance Landscape

10 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s new-car market has delivered another major signal to borrowers: the vehicle choices shaping car finance are changing quickly. In June 2026, combined new-vehicle deliveries reached 140,058, making it the strongest month recorded for the local market. The headline number matters, but the detail matters even more for buyers planning personal or business car loans. - read more

Credit Card Debt Climbs Again as Australians Face a Bigger Interest Burden

10 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australian credit card debt is again moving in the wrong direction, with Canstar’s latest analysis of Reserve Bank of Australia figures showing personal credit card debt accruing interest reached $19.4 billion in May 2026. The increase was $61 million for the month, and while that may look modest beside the national total, it signals a deeper issue for households already stretched by rent, mortgage repayments, groceries, utilities and other everyday costs. - read more

What Rebounding Wake Boat Searches Mean for Buyers

10 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Fresh Q1 2026 marine search data suggests Australian buyers are still highly engaged with boating, even as household budgets remain under pressure. Retain Media’s latest Marine Market Brand Consideration Report tracked 94 marine brands, around 31,000 keywords and more than 1.47 million Australian searches, giving dealers, lenders and would-be buyers a useful read on where attention is moving. - read more

Click for more Finance News