OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.

The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.

The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.

: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.

As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.

Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Could Melbourne’s Softer Market Help First Home Buyers?

01 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Melbourne may be moving into a rare window for first home buyers, with Domain’s latest forecast suggesting the city’s median house price could fall below $1 million within the next year. The report points to a possible decline of between 4 and 8 per cent, which would make Melbourne the weakest major capital in the forecast period and mark a notable shift from the rapid price growth seen in many other parts of Australia. - read more

What the New Insurance Code Could Mean for Riders

30 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s general insurance sector is moving towards a significant consumer-protection update, with the Insurance Council of Australia expecting a two-year transition for its redrafted General Insurance Code of Practice. The draft code, released for public feedback in late June 2026, is designed to become enforceable through insurance contracts once it clears the required approval steps. - read more

What the RBA’s New Policy Toolkit Means for Borrowers

30 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia has released a new framework explaining how it would approach additional monetary policy tools if the cash rate were again pushed close to zero and the economy still needed support. While that may sound distant from today’s lending market, the document matters for borrowers because it clarifies how the central bank thinks about future credit conditions, lender funding costs and the transmission of lower rates through the economy. - read more

Grand G980 Arrival Highlights Premium RIB Demand

30 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Grand Boats Australia’s Southern Hemisphere debut of the Grand G980 adds another notable option to the premium recreational boating market. The 10-metre rigid inflatable boat is positioned as a flagship adventure RIB, combining high-performance offshore capability with the kind of comfort features usually associated with larger cruisers. For Australian buyers, it is another sign that the local market remains interested in versatile boats that can handle family days, coastal exploring and overnight escapes. - read more

Record Commercial Card Debt Points to Fresh SME Cashflow Pressure

30 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Australian small businesses are showing another sign of financial strain, with commercial credit card debt reaching a record level at the end of June. New analysis from Credit 2024 and Primara Research indicates total commercial card debt has climbed to about $2.26 billion, with almost a quarter of that sitting in high-interest balances rather than being cleared quickly. - read more

Click for more Finance News