OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.

The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.

The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.

: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.

As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.

Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

July Trade-In Offer Gives Riders a Timely Finance Checkpoint

08 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

TeamMoto has launched a July trade-up incentive for eligible Australian riders, offering an extra $500 when they trade in their current motorcycle and purchase an eligible new or pre-owned bike through the dealership network. The offer runs from 6 July to 31 July 2026 inclusive, unless extended, and applies only where the trade-in and purchase are completed as part of the same dealership transaction. - read more

Could Falling House Prices Help First Home Buyers?

08 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s housing slowdown is no longer just a Sydney and Melbourne story. Fresh reporting on the property market points to falling national dwelling values in June, with Sydney and Melbourne leading the decline and growth cooling in several other capitals. For first home buyers, that sounds like welcome news after years of rising prices, stretched deposits and fierce competition for entry-level homes. - read more

Why Borrowers Should Revisit Loan Costs This Financial Year

07 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

New research highlighted by Money magazine has reopened an important debate for Australian borrowers: which generation has faced the toughest loan burden, and what does that mean for people applying for finance today? - read more

What July’s Rate Pause Means for Motorbike Loan Shoppers

07 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australian borrowers have entered July 2026 with a little more breathing space, after the Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate unchanged at 4.35 per cent at its 16 June meeting. Money.com.au’s latest July lending update indicates variable home loan rates have remained broadly steady, with some lenders still advertising rates below 6 per cent for eligible mortgage borrowers. - read more

Car Finance Fees Under Scrutiny as ASIC Flags Borrower Risks

07 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

ASIC’s latest review of the motor vehicle finance sector is a timely reminder that the true cost of borrowing can sit well beyond the advertised interest rate. While the review focused on car loans, the lessons apply to many Australians considering small personal loans, short term finance or any borrowing arranged through a third party. - read more

Click for more Finance News