OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.

The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.

The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.

: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.

As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.

Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Used Boat Interest Builds as Spring Buying Season Nears

27 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia's used boat market is moving back into sharper focus as the spring boating season approaches, with marine classifieds and dealer activity again putting late-model trailer boats, fishing rigs, family runabouts, personal watercraft and cruisers in front of motivated buyers. For households that have spent winter researching models, the next few weeks may bring more inspection opportunities, but also more pressure to act quickly when a suitable vessel appears. - read more

Why rising investor loan demand matters for borrowers

27 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori

The latest home lending indicators point to a property finance market that is still moving, even with borrowers facing high living costs and careful lender scrutiny. Investor activity has been one of the stronger parts of the market, adding another layer of competition for owner-occupiers and first-home buyers trying to secure finance. - read more

What the Latest RBA Minutes Mean for Personal Loan Applicants

27 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest policy minutes have added more detail to the rate outlook, reinforcing that borrowers should not assume easier credit conditions are just around the corner. While the cash rate has remained on hold, the discussion shows policymakers are still weighing inflation, household spending, wages growth and the resilience of the labour market before making their next move. - read more

Why the Home Loan Stress Test Still Matters for First Buyers

26 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s home loan market is showing signs of renewed competition, with some lenders adjusting rates and sharpening offers for borrowers with strong applications. For first home buyers, that can sound like a welcome shift after a long stretch of affordability pressure. But one important hurdle remains firmly in the background: the serviceability buffer. - read more

Could HELP Debt Relief Improve Your First-Home Loan Chances?

26 Aug 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s student debt changes are becoming an important finance story for aspiring first-home buyers, especially graduates who have been carefully saving while also carrying a HELP balance. A lower study debt can make the path to a first home buyer home loan feel more achievable, but it is not a simple switch from “not ready” to “approved”. - read more

Click for more Finance News