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In a landmark moment for Sydney's real estate market, the city’s median asking price for houses has surpassed the $2 million mark, hitting $2,012,000 as of 15 April, according to SQM Research.
This figure includes Greater Sydney regions such as the Blue Mountains and Central Coast.
The development was confirmed by SQM's managing director, Louis Christopher.
SQM Research has highlighted that their methodology tracks vendor asking prices, providing an advance insight into housing market trends. Historically, these figures have been indicative of the future trajectory of house prices. As per Domain, the median sold price for houses reached a record $1,645,400 in the last quarter of 2024.
The forecast for Sydney's housing market suggests further price hikes are likely. A combination of anticipated rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and significant policy initiatives promises continued growth in housing values. Financial markets project five rate cuts this year, which could lower the official cash rate to 2.85% by the year’s end. Additionally, the Albanese government has proposed a universal 5% housing deposit guarantee for first-time homebuyers, effective from January 2026.
Under Labor's proposed policy, the government will guarantee up to 15% of the loan value, allowing buyers to avoid the average $23,000 lenders’ mortgage insurance cost. As Sydney's population could reach over 8 million by the 2060s due to sustained overseas migration, the demand for housing in the city is expected to intensify.
The increasing population is likely to result in a trend towards higher density living, with apartments gradually replacing single detached houses. This transition will further amplify housing values in the city.
The surge in Sydney's housing prices reflects broader economic policies and market dynamics. The anticipated decrease in mortgage rates and the easing of housing access through policy reforms could continue to fuel the housing market's growth. This scenario is likely to strain affordability, impacting prospective homebuyers who may find the market increasingly inaccessible.
Looking ahead, the housing market is expected to keep climbing, especially as supportive economic conditions persist. The impact of government policy on housing affordability, particularly for first-time buyers, will be central to future discussions as these initiatives take effect. Moreover, as Sydney becomes denser, strategic urban planning will be critical to maintaining the city's liveability amidst rising population pressures.
Recent analyses indicate that Australian home prices are expected to rise by approximately 6.9% in 2026, an upward revision from earlier projections of 5.6%. This forecast is based on a Reuters poll of 15 property analysts conducted between November 13 and 26, 2025. The anticipated increase is primarily attributed to a combination of limited housing supply and sustained demand, particularly in major cities such as Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Perth. - read more
In its November 2025 meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to keep the official cash rate unchanged at 3.60%. This decision reflects the central bank's cautious approach in balancing inflation control with economic stability. - read more
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at mitigating risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will implement a cap restricting banks from issuing more than 20% of new home loans to borrowers with debt-to-income (DTI) ratios of six times or higher. This measure applies to both owner-occupier and investor loans, excluding new housing developments. - read more
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at mitigating risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will implement a cap on high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, limiting banks to issuing no more than 20% of new home loans with DTI ratios of six times or higher. This measure applies to both owner-occupier and investor loans, excluding new housing developments. - read more
In response to the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent decision to lower the official cash rate by 0.25%, National Australia Bank (NAB) has announced a corresponding reduction in interest rates for eligible business lending products. Effective from 30 May 2025, new and existing business customers with variable rate NAB Business Options Loans or NAB Business Overdraft products will see their interest rates decrease by 0.25% per annum. - read more
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Knowledgebase
Bridging Finance: A short-term loan that covers a financial shortfall during time between the purchase of a new property and the sale of an old property.