The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches.
Over the last year and a half, the Australian retail sector has been navigating what might be described as a recession, mostly indicated by declining trade figures. This downturn presents significant obstacles for retailers as they head towards one of the busiest times of the year.
In a sobering analysis by Deloitte Access Economics, partner Dave Rumbens highlights that retail spending has consistently declined over six of the previous seven quarters. This decrease is compounded by high living costs, rising interest rates, and stagnant wage growth, leading to an overall grim economic outlook.
“We’ve seen retailers struggle significantly," said Rumbens. "Real retail turnover has dropped for eight consecutive quarters, and consumer spending has barely budged at a 1.3% increase over the past 12 months.”
Data reveals that the national real GDP growth up to March was just 1.1%, the lowest rate outside pandemic years since the 90s. According to Rumbens, this is a clear signal that Australia’s retail industry has been in a persistent recession for 18 months.
Despite the bleak outlook, this contraction in the retail sector is not surprising, given the weakening job market and the rising number of business insolvencies. “On a per capita basis, the reality is even harsher with real per capita retail spending shrinking by 2.5% compared to last year and further declining by 6.3% since June 2022,” explained Rumbens.
The "economic horror show" does not solely impact retailers; it reflects a broader economic malaise. With real consumer spending on retail down by 0.6% over the year to June, Rumbens predicts a difficult period ahead, though he remains hopeful that future years might bring some relief.
The Deloitte report underscores that new financial relief measures, including energy bill subsidies and tax cuts, might help increase disposable income and improve retail turnover. “While retailers should brace for continued challenges through the holiday season, we anticipate some gradual recovery," said Rumbens. Predictive figures show real retail turnover growth potentially rising from 0.3% in 2024 to 1.5% in both 2025 and 2026.
The recent monthly Consumer Price Index report for July shows inflation easing down to 3.5%, and underlying inflation dipping to 3.8%. Such signs might be initial indicators of economic stabilization, offering a glimmer of hope for Australian retailers.
Amidst this “new normal” of cautious and value-focused consumer behavior, the path to recovery might be slow, but not unattainable. Retailers who can adapt to the evolving economic landscape will be better positioned to overcome the tumultuous times still expected before a more stable future in 2025-26.
Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.
Australia’s financial complaints landscape remains under close watch, with recent industry reporting again pointing to pressure across lending, credit reporting, insurance and customer service. While these updates are not written specifically for personal watercraft buyers, they carry a useful warning for anyone preparing to finance a jetski: a smooth purchase day does not always guarantee a smooth loan experience. - read more
Australian small businesses carrying overdue tax debt are facing a sharper finance challenge as the ATO continues to use debt disclosure powers where businesses do not engage early. While tax arrears have always been a cash flow concern, the bigger issue for borrowers is that eligible unpaid debts may be reported to credit reporting bureaus, making them visible to lenders assessing risk. - read more
Fresh caravan loan comparison activity across Australian finance sites is a timely reminder that the cheapest-looking rate is not always the best deal for buyers planning a new touring set-up. With lenders continuing to present caravan finance through secured personal loans, unsecured personal loans and specialist leisure-asset products, the real cost can vary widely once fees, loan terms and eligibility rules are included. - read more
Cashback offers and fee-based incentives are moving back into the refinancing conversation as lenders compete for borrowers who still have solid equity, reliable income and a clean repayment history. While headline interest rates remain important, the latest market activity suggests some lenders are trying to win new business with upfront sweeteners rather than relying only on advertised rate cuts. - read more
Australia’s latest inflation signals have put renewed pressure on hopes for near-term interest rate relief, creating another important checkpoint for households, sole traders and small to medium-sized business owners. While inflation is no longer running at the peaks seen earlier in the cycle, the latest data suggests price growth remains uneven across essential categories, keeping the Reserve Bank of Australia cautious about declaring the job done. - read more
Welcome to the road less traveled, where the rubber meets financial prudence. Truck driving in Australia is not just about long miles but also about ensuring financial stability amidst life's crossroads. As a truck driver, taking the wheel of your financial future is crucial, and that's what we'll navigate in this article. - read more
When purchasing a truck, whether for personal use or business, navigating the financial landscape can be daunting. This is where pre-approval comes into play. But what exactly does pre-approval mean in the context of buying a truck? - read more
Small businesses that require regular transportation of goods may find it essential to purchase a truck. However, this acquisition can become a significant investment that requires careful consideration before making a decision. The two options available are buying or leasing a truck. In this article, we will explore the pros and cons of each option to help you make an informed choice. - read more
Finding the right financing for a commercial vehicle in Australia can be a critical step for businesses and individuals alike. Whether it's for a single van or an entire fleet of trucks, understanding the intricacies of commercial vehicle loans is key to securing a deal that aligns with your financial goals. One factor that stands out in determining your loan terms is the credit score—a numerical representation of your creditworthiness. - read more
Truck loan repayments are shaped by the amount borrowed, interest rate, loan term, repayment frequency, fees, deposit and any balloon or residual amount. Understanding these inputs can help Australian business owners interpret repayment calculator results more clearly before comparing finance options. - read more
Start Here
Get a free truck loan eligibility assessment and compare truck finance and leasing options
without accessing your credit file!!
Knowledgebase
Return on Investment (ROI): A measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment or compare the efficiency of several different investments.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts.