Australia Grapples with Prolonged Economic Slowdown

4

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in its recent economic outlook, revised Australia's GDP growth projection for 2024 downwards-from an anticipated 1.5% growth to a more conservative 1.1%. Looking further ahead, it forecasts a gradual recovery with an expected GDP increase of 1.8% by 2025.

Despite these projections, Australia's population growth of 2.4% for the year ending June 2024 tends to exacerbate the per capita recession, hinting that this economic hardship might persist beyond previous expectations. The ramifications of these economic conditions are predominately felt by average households.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's steadfast approach in raising interest rates has placed a substantial burden on household budgets. This has led to a 2.4% reduction in household consumption from its apex in real per capita terms.

More noticeably, real per capita household disposable income plunged by an unprecedented 8% from its earlier highs. This constitutes the steepest decline observed in contemporary economic analysis according to recent statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

August figures from the ABS Household Spending Indicator reported stagnant spending in nominal terms, succeeding prior decreases of 0.5% in July and 0.1% in June. Robert Ewing, head of business statistics at ABS, observed, "Growth in household spending has stalled at the start of the financial year, even as the Federal government's Stage 3 tax cuts came into effect on 1 July".

An analytical depiction by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, matched ABS Household Spending Indicator data with household consumption figures from quarterly national accounts. The analysis suggests a persisting frailty in these accounts throughout Q3, indicating that the current recession per capita is far from over.

The new policies, including the Stage 3 tax cuts designed to boost economic engagement and consumer spending, appear to have offered limited relief as the economy remains dormant. Acknowledging information from the original source, The OECD Digest, it's evident that while several measures are in play, the anticipated economic rejuvenation remains elusive.

Published:Tuesday, 8th Oct 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

October 2025 Sees Decline in Personal Insolvencies

05 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

In October 2025, Australia witnessed a notable decrease in personal insolvencies, with the Australian Financial Security Authority (AFSA) reporting 1,116 new cases. This marks a decline from 1,169 in September 2025 and an increase from 1,009 in October 2024. The breakdown includes 601 bankruptcies, 498 debt agreements, and 17 personal insolvency agreements. Additionally, 16 new temporary debt protections were recorded, offering individuals a 21-day respite from unsecured creditor enforcement to seek advice or consider insolvency options. - read more

RBA's October 2025 Review Highlights Australia's Financial Resilience

05 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has released its October 2025 Financial Stability Review, providing a comprehensive assessment of the nation's financial system amid global uncertainties. The report underscores that Australia's financial institutions are well-positioned to navigate potential challenges, with households, businesses, and banks demonstrating resilience. - read more

RBA Advises Caution in Lending Practices Amid Improved Borrower Finances

05 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has issued a cautionary note to financial institutions, advising them to maintain prudent lending practices despite improvements in borrower financial health. Recent data indicates that the proportion of mortgage holders spending more than they earn has decreased to approximately 3%, down from 5% in mid-2024. This improvement is attributed to factors such as tax cuts and easing inflation. - read more

ASIC's Investigation Highlights Concerns in Car Finance Practices

05 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has recently conducted a comprehensive review of the nation's motor vehicle finance sector, uncovering significant issues that raise concerns about consumer protection and lending practices. - read more

CBA's AI Assistant Revolutionises Car Market Price Discovery

05 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has unveiled a pioneering artificial intelligence (AI) assistant designed to enhance price discovery and transparency in the Australian car market. This innovative tool aims to empower consumers by providing detailed insights into vehicle pricing, a resource previously accessible primarily to car dealers. - read more

Click for more Finance News