Australia Grapples with Prolonged Economic Slowdown

4

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in its recent economic outlook, revised Australia's GDP growth projection for 2024 downwards-from an anticipated 1.5% growth to a more conservative 1.1%. Looking further ahead, it forecasts a gradual recovery with an expected GDP increase of 1.8% by 2025.

Despite these projections, Australia's population growth of 2.4% for the year ending June 2024 tends to exacerbate the per capita recession, hinting that this economic hardship might persist beyond previous expectations. The ramifications of these economic conditions are predominately felt by average households.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's steadfast approach in raising interest rates has placed a substantial burden on household budgets. This has led to a 2.4% reduction in household consumption from its apex in real per capita terms.

More noticeably, real per capita household disposable income plunged by an unprecedented 8% from its earlier highs. This constitutes the steepest decline observed in contemporary economic analysis according to recent statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

August figures from the ABS Household Spending Indicator reported stagnant spending in nominal terms, succeeding prior decreases of 0.5% in July and 0.1% in June. Robert Ewing, head of business statistics at ABS, observed, "Growth in household spending has stalled at the start of the financial year, even as the Federal government's Stage 3 tax cuts came into effect on 1 July".

An analytical depiction by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, matched ABS Household Spending Indicator data with household consumption figures from quarterly national accounts. The analysis suggests a persisting frailty in these accounts throughout Q3, indicating that the current recession per capita is far from over.

The new policies, including the Stage 3 tax cuts designed to boost economic engagement and consumer spending, appear to have offered limited relief as the economy remains dormant. Acknowledging information from the original source, The OECD Digest, it's evident that while several measures are in play, the anticipated economic rejuvenation remains elusive.

Published:Tuesday, 8th Oct 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Club Marine Recognised for Outstanding Service with 2025 Product Review Award

19 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

Club Marine, Australia's leading provider of recreational boat insurance, has been honoured with the 2025 Product Review Award for Insurance. This accolade is a testament to the company's unwavering commitment to customer satisfaction and service excellence. - read more

Markel Insurance Expands into Australian Marine Market with New Leadership

19 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

Markel Insurance, a prominent global insurer, has announced the appointment of Tim Wills as Head of Marine - Australia. This strategic move signifies Markel's entry into the Australian marine insurance market, beginning with marine cargo coverage. - read more

Addressing the $38 Billion Equity Shortfall in Australian SMEs

19 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

Australian small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are pivotal to the nation's economy, representing only 6% of all businesses yet contributing 26% to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Despite their significance, these businesses face a substantial barrier: a $38 billion equity funding gap that stifles their growth potential. - read more

20-Fold Increase in Small Business Restructurings to Sustain Operations

19 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has reported a significant uptick in small business restructurings (SBR), with 3,388 appointments between July 2022 and December 2024. This marks an almost 20-fold increase compared to the previous period, indicating that more directors are embracing this regime to retain control while restructuring debt. - read more

AFCA Alerts SMEs to Risks of Unregulated Lenders Amid Complaint Surge

19 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian Financial Complaints Authority (AFCA) has issued a warning to small businesses regarding the risks associated with unregulated lenders. This comes in response to a notable increase in complaints that AFCA cannot address due to the lenders' lack of membership in the authority. - read more

Click for more Finance News