Australia Grapples with Prolonged Economic Slowdown

4

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in its recent economic outlook, revised Australia's GDP growth projection for 2024 downwards-from an anticipated 1.5% growth to a more conservative 1.1%. Looking further ahead, it forecasts a gradual recovery with an expected GDP increase of 1.8% by 2025.

Despite these projections, Australia's population growth of 2.4% for the year ending June 2024 tends to exacerbate the per capita recession, hinting that this economic hardship might persist beyond previous expectations. The ramifications of these economic conditions are predominately felt by average households.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's steadfast approach in raising interest rates has placed a substantial burden on household budgets. This has led to a 2.4% reduction in household consumption from its apex in real per capita terms.

More noticeably, real per capita household disposable income plunged by an unprecedented 8% from its earlier highs. This constitutes the steepest decline observed in contemporary economic analysis according to recent statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

August figures from the ABS Household Spending Indicator reported stagnant spending in nominal terms, succeeding prior decreases of 0.5% in July and 0.1% in June. Robert Ewing, head of business statistics at ABS, observed, "Growth in household spending has stalled at the start of the financial year, even as the Federal government's Stage 3 tax cuts came into effect on 1 July".

An analytical depiction by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, matched ABS Household Spending Indicator data with household consumption figures from quarterly national accounts. The analysis suggests a persisting frailty in these accounts throughout Q3, indicating that the current recession per capita is far from over.

The new policies, including the Stage 3 tax cuts designed to boost economic engagement and consumer spending, appear to have offered limited relief as the economy remains dormant. Acknowledging information from the original source, The OECD Digest, it's evident that while several measures are in play, the anticipated economic rejuvenation remains elusive.

Published:Tuesday, 8th Oct 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Australia's Marine Industry Surges to $229 Billion Economic Output

05 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

Australia's marine industry has demonstrated remarkable resilience and growth, achieving an economic output of $229 billion in 2023. This represents a 19% increase compared to two years prior, as reported by the Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS). The sector now supports 712,000 full-time equivalent jobs, marking a 52% rise in employment. - read more

Australia and Vanuatu Strengthen Ties with $325 Million Nakamal Agreement

05 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

In a significant move to bolster regional partnerships, Australia and Vanuatu have signed the Nakamal Agreement, a $325 million bilateral treaty aimed at enhancing economic, security, and cultural cooperation. Named after Vanuatu's traditional communal meeting place, the 'nakamal,' this agreement underscores the deepening ties between the two nations. - read more

Austal Limited Boosts U.S. Shipbuilding with $100 Million EFA Loan

05 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

Austal Limited, a prominent Australian shipbuilder, has secured a $100 million loan from Export Finance Australia (EFA) to enhance its shipbuilding operations in Mobile, Alabama. This strategic funding is earmarked for the development of the Final Assembly 2 (FA2) project, a significant initiative aimed at increasing Austal's capacity to construct vessels for the U.S. Navy and Coast Guard. - read more

RBA's Interest Rate Reduction: A Boon for Australian SMEs

05 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent decision to reduce the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.60% presents a significant opportunity for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across the nation. This adjustment, aimed at addressing moderating inflation and a tight labour market, is set to lower borrowing costs, thereby facilitating business growth and expansion. - read more

Australian SMEs Embrace Non-Bank Lenders for Flexible Financing

05 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

In a significant shift within Australia's financial landscape, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are increasingly opting for non-bank lenders to meet their financing needs. Recent data indicates that demand for non-bank lending among SMEs has reached 55% in 2025, marking a substantial increase from previous years. - read more

Click for more Finance News