Australia Grapples with Prolonged Economic Slowdown

4

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in its recent economic outlook, revised Australia's GDP growth projection for 2024 downwards-from an anticipated 1.5% growth to a more conservative 1.1%. Looking further ahead, it forecasts a gradual recovery with an expected GDP increase of 1.8% by 2025.

Despite these projections, Australia's population growth of 2.4% for the year ending June 2024 tends to exacerbate the per capita recession, hinting that this economic hardship might persist beyond previous expectations. The ramifications of these economic conditions are predominately felt by average households.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's steadfast approach in raising interest rates has placed a substantial burden on household budgets. This has led to a 2.4% reduction in household consumption from its apex in real per capita terms.

More noticeably, real per capita household disposable income plunged by an unprecedented 8% from its earlier highs. This constitutes the steepest decline observed in contemporary economic analysis according to recent statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

August figures from the ABS Household Spending Indicator reported stagnant spending in nominal terms, succeeding prior decreases of 0.5% in July and 0.1% in June. Robert Ewing, head of business statistics at ABS, observed, "Growth in household spending has stalled at the start of the financial year, even as the Federal government's Stage 3 tax cuts came into effect on 1 July".

An analytical depiction by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, matched ABS Household Spending Indicator data with household consumption figures from quarterly national accounts. The analysis suggests a persisting frailty in these accounts throughout Q3, indicating that the current recession per capita is far from over.

The new policies, including the Stage 3 tax cuts designed to boost economic engagement and consumer spending, appear to have offered limited relief as the economy remains dormant. Acknowledging information from the original source, The OECD Digest, it's evident that while several measures are in play, the anticipated economic rejuvenation remains elusive.

Published:Tuesday, 8th Oct 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

ANZ Bank Hit with Record AU$240 Million Penalty for Misconduct

22 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

In a landmark decision, the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has imposed a record AU$240 million penalty on ANZ Bank for systemic corporate misconduct. This fine, the largest ever levied by ASIC against a single entity, underscores the regulator's commitment to maintaining integrity within the financial sector. - read more

Commonwealth Bank Sees Modest Profit Rise Amidst Mortgage Expansion

22 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), the nation's largest lender, has reported a modest increase in its first-quarter cash profit, attributed primarily to robust growth in home loans and household deposits. The unaudited cash profit stands at approximately AU$2.6 billion, marking a 1% rise from the previous two-quarter average and a 2% increase compared to the same period last year. - read more

CBA CEO Warns of Risks from Surging Home Loan Demand

22 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

Matt Comyn, CEO of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), has raised concerns about the nation's high demand for home loans, suggesting that the current growth rate may be unsustainable and could impact long-term financial stability and housing affordability. - read more

ASIC's Review Uncovers Key Issues in Motor Vehicle Financing

21 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) has released preliminary insights into its ongoing review of the motor vehicle finance sector, shedding light on practices that may be detrimental to consumers. The review aims to identify mechanisms to reduce consumer harm and improve outcomes for all car finance customers, including those in regional and remote areas and First Nations communities. - read more

New Government Initiative Offers Affordable Loans for Electric Vehicle Purchases

21 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

In a significant move to promote the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), the Australian government has announced a $50 million partnership with Metro Finance. This initiative aims to provide low-interest loans to businesses for the purchase of electric cars, trucks, utes, and forklifts, thereby reducing energy bills and emissions. - read more

Click for more Finance News