Australia Grapples with Prolonged Economic Slowdown

4

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in its recent economic outlook, revised Australia's GDP growth projection for 2024 downwards-from an anticipated 1.5% growth to a more conservative 1.1%. Looking further ahead, it forecasts a gradual recovery with an expected GDP increase of 1.8% by 2025.

Despite these projections, Australia's population growth of 2.4% for the year ending June 2024 tends to exacerbate the per capita recession, hinting that this economic hardship might persist beyond previous expectations. The ramifications of these economic conditions are predominately felt by average households.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's steadfast approach in raising interest rates has placed a substantial burden on household budgets. This has led to a 2.4% reduction in household consumption from its apex in real per capita terms.

More noticeably, real per capita household disposable income plunged by an unprecedented 8% from its earlier highs. This constitutes the steepest decline observed in contemporary economic analysis according to recent statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

August figures from the ABS Household Spending Indicator reported stagnant spending in nominal terms, succeeding prior decreases of 0.5% in July and 0.1% in June. Robert Ewing, head of business statistics at ABS, observed, "Growth in household spending has stalled at the start of the financial year, even as the Federal government's Stage 3 tax cuts came into effect on 1 July".

An analytical depiction by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, matched ABS Household Spending Indicator data with household consumption figures from quarterly national accounts. The analysis suggests a persisting frailty in these accounts throughout Q3, indicating that the current recession per capita is far from over.

The new policies, including the Stage 3 tax cuts designed to boost economic engagement and consumer spending, appear to have offered limited relief as the economy remains dormant. Acknowledging information from the original source, The OECD Digest, it's evident that while several measures are in play, the anticipated economic rejuvenation remains elusive.

Published:Tuesday, 8th Oct 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

APRA's New Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans: What Borrowers Need to Know

03 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at curbing potential risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will implement a cap on high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, limiting such loans to 20% of new home lending portfolios. This move is designed to address concerns over escalating property prices and accelerated credit growth. - read more

Commonwealth Bank's Q1 Profit Growth: Balancing Volume and Margin Challenges

03 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), the nation's largest lender by market value, has reported a modest increase in its first-quarter cash profit, reaching approximately A$2.6 billion-a 2% rise from the previous year. This growth is primarily attributed to strong performances in home loans and household deposits, which saw increases of A$9.3 billion and A$17.8 billion, respectively. - read more

Australians Tighten Budgets to Enhance Home Loan Eligibility

03 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

In response to stringent lending criteria, a significant number of Australians are actively reducing their spending and personal debt to improve their chances of securing or refinancing home loans. A recent survey conducted by Finder, involving over 1,000 participants, revealed that 18%-approximately 3.9 million people-have taken such measures over the past five years to meet lender requirements. - read more

Zone RV's Financial Struggles Lead to Voluntary Administration

03 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

In a significant development within the Australian caravan industry, luxury off-road caravan manufacturer Zone RV has entered voluntary administration. This move has left numerous staff members and customers facing uncertainty regarding their future engagements with the company. - read more

Dreamhaven: Crusader Caravans' New Affordable Range Hits the Market

03 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

Crusader Caravans has unveiled its latest venture, Dreamhaven, a new brand designed to offer Australians high-quality, locally manufactured caravans at an accessible price point. This initiative aims to bridge the gap between premium features and affordability, catering to a broader audience of caravan enthusiasts. - read more

Click for more Finance News