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Impact of the 5% Deposit Scheme on Affordable Housing Prices

Analysing the 6.7% Price Increase and Market Competition

Impact of the 5% Deposit Scheme on Affordable Housing Prices?w=400

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Recent data indicates that the Australian Government's expansion of the 5% deposit scheme has significantly influenced the affordable housing market.
In the six months following the scheme's October 2025 expansion, properties priced below the government's set caps experienced a 6.7% price increase, nearly doubling the 3.6% rise observed in higher-priced properties.
This trend underscores the scheme's role in intensifying demand for entry-level homes.

The 5% deposit scheme allows eligible first-home buyers to purchase properties with a minimal deposit, with the government acting as a guarantor. While this initiative aims to make homeownership more accessible, it has inadvertently heightened competition in the lower-priced segment of the market. First-time buyers and investors are now vying for the same properties, leading to accelerated price growth in this category.

Tim Lawless, Research Director at Cotality, highlighted that the scheme, while temporarily boosting homeownership rates, may counteract long-term housing affordability goals by increasing demand without addressing supply constraints. He noted that this approach could push prices higher, making it more challenging for future first-home buyers to enter the market.

In response, a spokesperson for Housing Minister Clare O'Neil emphasized the government's commitment to assisting first-home buyers while addressing longstanding supply issues. They acknowledged that, without the scheme, many individuals would struggle to enter the housing market.

As the market adapts to these dynamics, prospective first-home buyers should be aware of the intensified competition and potential for further price increases in the affordable housing sector. Exploring various financing options, staying informed about market trends, and considering a range of property types and locations may enhance their chances of securing a suitable home.

Published:Friday, 1st May 2026
Author: Paige Estritori

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