Economy's Chill: Aussie Consumers Tighten Purse Strings Further

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Fresh insights have emerged from two significant reports. The first came from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), which unveiled April's Household Spending Indicator (HSI). This vital measure represents nearly two-thirds of total household expenditure.

Justin Fabo of Antipodean Macro provided charts showing the ABS HSI, indicating that nominal spending growth remained sluggish in April. More worryingly, the spending numbers in discretionary sectors, which are often seen as indicative of consumer confidence, appeared particularly feeble.

It’s worth noting that these charts measure spending in nominal terms. Adjusting for population and inflation would show an even steeper decline in real per capita spending, painting a more concerning picture.

Meantime, Westpac released its own data on consumer activity via the Card Tracker Index. This index tracks the vast volume of daily credit and debit card transactions processed by the bank. Recent findings are not encouraging.

According to the latest figures, the Westpac Card Tracker Index dipped by 2.2 points in the final two weeks of May, landing at 132.7 as of the week ending June 1. The downward trend has been persistent, with the average reading for the past eight weeks falling by approximately 0.5 points compared to the preceding eight weeks.

The quarterly growth pulse recorded a conspicuous negative rate of -1.1%, indicating substantial contraction in economic activity when adjusted for inflation.

When looking at the state-level breakdown, a uniformly broad decline is evident, though Western Australia shows somewhat milder quarterly decreases. Despite this slight regional resilience, the overall story remains grim.

The detailed assessment of HSI and Card Tracker Index data suggests that real per capita household consumption, as captured in the national accounts, continues to plummet.

The narrative is clear-Australian households are navigating through an intractable recession without a foreseeable short-term respite.

Published:Sunday, 9th Jun 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Understanding the RBA's Latest Cash Rate Hike to 4.35%

14 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has announced a 0.25% increase in the cash rate, bringing it to 4.35%. This marks the third consecutive rate hike in 2026, a move aimed at curbing rising inflation pressures. The decision reflects the RBA's commitment to maintaining economic stability amid global uncertainties and domestic inflationary trends. - read more

Navigating the Upcoming Mortgage Rate Increases Across Australian Lenders

14 May 2026: Paige Estritori

In the wake of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent cash rate increase to 4.35%, a significant number of lenders are set to raise their mortgage rates. Data indicates that over 36 lenders, including major banks and smaller institutions, will implement these increases over the next five weeks. This staggered approach means borrowers will experience rate hikes at different times, depending on their lender. - read more

How the RBA's Rate Increase to 4.35% May Affect New Mortgage Applications

14 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent decision to raise the cash rate to 4.35% is expected to have a cooling effect on new mortgage demand. As borrowing costs increase, potential homebuyers may reconsider or delay their property purchase plans. Data from Equifax indicates a noticeable slowdown in new mortgage applications, with growth dropping from 7.1% year-on-year in January to 3.9% in February, and stalling at -0.2% in March. - read more

Understanding the RBA's May 2026 Cash Rate Increase

13 May 2026: Paige Estritori

On 5 May 2026, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced a 25 basis point increase to the official cash rate, bringing it to 4.35%. This marks the third consecutive rate hike this year, following increases in February and March. The decision aims to address rising inflation, which reached 4.6% in March, driven in part by escalating fuel prices due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. - read more

Surge in Electric Vehicle Sales: A New Era for Australia's Car Market

13 May 2026: Paige Estritori

In April 2026, electric vehicles (EVs) accounted for 16.4% of all new car sales in Australia, marking a significant milestone in the nation's automotive industry. This surge is attributed to a combination of factors, including improved vehicle supply, rising fuel prices, and supportive government policies. - read more

Click for more Finance News