Economy's Chill: Aussie Consumers Tighten Purse Strings Further

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Fresh insights have emerged from two significant reports. The first came from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), which unveiled April's Household Spending Indicator (HSI). This vital measure represents nearly two-thirds of total household expenditure.

Justin Fabo of Antipodean Macro provided charts showing the ABS HSI, indicating that nominal spending growth remained sluggish in April. More worryingly, the spending numbers in discretionary sectors, which are often seen as indicative of consumer confidence, appeared particularly feeble.

It’s worth noting that these charts measure spending in nominal terms. Adjusting for population and inflation would show an even steeper decline in real per capita spending, painting a more concerning picture.

Meantime, Westpac released its own data on consumer activity via the Card Tracker Index. This index tracks the vast volume of daily credit and debit card transactions processed by the bank. Recent findings are not encouraging.

According to the latest figures, the Westpac Card Tracker Index dipped by 2.2 points in the final two weeks of May, landing at 132.7 as of the week ending June 1. The downward trend has been persistent, with the average reading for the past eight weeks falling by approximately 0.5 points compared to the preceding eight weeks.

The quarterly growth pulse recorded a conspicuous negative rate of -1.1%, indicating substantial contraction in economic activity when adjusted for inflation.

When looking at the state-level breakdown, a uniformly broad decline is evident, though Western Australia shows somewhat milder quarterly decreases. Despite this slight regional resilience, the overall story remains grim.

The detailed assessment of HSI and Card Tracker Index data suggests that real per capita household consumption, as captured in the national accounts, continues to plummet.

The narrative is clear-Australian households are navigating through an intractable recession without a foreseeable short-term respite.

Published:Sunday, 9th Jun 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Understanding APRA's New Lending Restrictions for Homebuyers

19 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced new measures to limit high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, effective from 1 February 2026. Under these regulations, banks and other authorised deposit-taking institutions are restricted to allocating no more than 20% of new home loans to borrowers with a DTI ratio of six times or more. - read more

RBA's Interest Rate Hike: What It Means for Homebuyers

19 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% in its February meeting, responding to a resurgence in inflation during the latter half of 2025. This decision marks the first rate hike in over two years and aims to curb inflationary pressures that have re-emerged despite previous rate cuts. - read more

Anticipated 5% Rise in Australian House Prices: What Buyers Need to Know

19 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia's housing market is poised for continued growth in 2026, with economists forecasting a 5% increase in house prices over the next 12 months. This projection follows an 8.6% rise in 2025, marking the strongest annual growth since 2021. The anticipated growth is primarily driven by demand outstripping supply, a trend observed across all states and territories. - read more

AFIA Endorses National AI Plan to Propel Finance Industry Innovation

18 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Finance Industry Association (AFIA) has expressed strong support for the Albanese Government's National AI Plan, viewing it as a significant step toward harnessing artificial intelligence (AI) to drive economic growth and innovation within the finance sector. - read more

AFIA Unveils Financial Safety Alliance to Tackle Financial Abuse

18 Feb 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Finance Industry Association (AFIA) has announced the formation of the Financial Safety Alliance, a collaborative initiative aimed at preventing financial abuse across the nation. This alliance brings together banks, lenders, and financial safety experts to develop and implement strategies that protect consumers from financial exploitation. - read more

Click for more Finance News