Housing Crisis in Australia: Deeper Trouble Ahead

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Issues such as high construction costs have accelerated the cost of building in major cities at a rate that outpaces property price growth. It increasingly appears more financially sound to purchase an existing home rather than build a new one.

According to Tim Lawless, CoreLogic's research director, "the cost of construction is yet to decline and it remains approximately 30% more expensive to build or renovate now compared to pre-COVID times," reflecting a prolonged period of inflating expenses.

SQM Research's founder and managing director, Louis Christopher, has expressed concern. He pointed out that "indicators show no signs of an imminent increase in housing supply," and has projected that there will be only "138,000 new dwellings completed by FY25."

PropTrack's executive manager for economic research, Cameron Kusher, noted, "Building approvals have plunged to their lowest in a decade. The pandemic-induced rise in construction costs, labour shortages, and 12-year high interest rates have severely impacted new constructions."

Adding to the discourse, Ben Burston, chief economist at Knight Frank, warned that "restoring high levels of housing construction will be a laborious task" due to the steep increments in both construction and financing costs.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that only 163,800 homes were approved for construction in the year up to May. This is 32% (or 76,200 homes) short of the Albanese government’s 240,000 annual housing target.

It is crucial to note that the Albanese government’s target of 240,000 homes annually is unprecedented. The closest the nation came to meeting such a goal was in 2017 when 223,600 homes were built, which was still 7% below the target. This was achieved with a cash rate of 1.5%, compared to the current rate of 4.35%.

Back in 2017, builders also faced lower construction costs (some 40% less than today) and did not compete for labour with state government infrastructure projects. In comparison, data from the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) show that nearly 3,000 construction firms went bankrupt in the 2023-2024 financial year, reducing the sector’s productive capacity.

Given these macroeconomic conditions, it seems highly improbable for the Albanese government’s housing targets to be met, and dwelling completion rates are likely to remain low in the near term.

Ultimately, a long-term resolution to Australia’s housing shortage may necessitate reducing net overseas migration, hence easing the population demand below the nation’s housing and infrastructure supply capacity.

If these structural issues aren't addressed, Australia's housing crisis is poised to exacerbate.

Published:Tuesday, 16th Jul 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Major Housing Initiative to Benefit First Home Buyers in South Australia

08 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

In a significant move to address housing affordability, the Australian and South Australian governments have announced a partnership to construct 17,000 new homes across the state. This initiative, unveiled on 30 January 2026, aims to provide nearly 7,000 homes specifically for first home buyers, thereby facilitating easier access to the property market for many South Australians. - read more

Stability in Australian Motorcycle Sales as Q2 2026 Begins

07 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia's motorcycle market has demonstrated remarkable stability as it enters the second quarter of 2026. Despite broader economic pressures affecting consumer spending, the industry has maintained a steady course, with particular resilience observed in the off-road and scooter segments. - read more

Government Accelerates $6.15 Billion in Business Support Amid Global Challenges

07 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian government has announced the expedited release of $6.15 billion in concessional capital to support businesses grappling with global market disruptions. This initiative is part of the National Reconstruction Fund (NRF) and includes the Economic Resilience Program, the Net Zero Fund, and the Forestry Growth Fund. - read more

Reserve Bank of Australia Lifts Cash Rate to 4.10% in Response to Inflation

07 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.10%, marking the second consecutive increase in its current monetary policy cycle. This decision aims to address persistent inflationary pressures and maintain economic stability. - read more

Anticipated 20% Increase in Australian Grocery Prices Due to Rising Fuel Costs

07 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

Australian consumers are bracing for a significant rise in grocery prices, with forecasts indicating an increase of up to 20% in the coming weeks. This surge is primarily attributed to escalating fuel costs and ongoing supply chain disruptions. - read more

Click for more Finance News