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Australia's Inflation Accelerates in Q3 2025, Influencing Interest Rate Expectations

Rising Consumer Prices Challenge Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy

Australia's Inflation Accelerates in Q3 2025, Influencing Interest Rate Expectations?w=400

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Australia's inflation rate has seen a significant uptick in the third quarter of 2025, with consumer prices rising by 1.3%-the largest quarterly increase in two and a half years.
This surge has pushed the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation to 3.2%, surpassing the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) target range of 2-3%.

The primary drivers of this inflationary pressure include substantial increases in electricity costs and travel expenses. Electricity prices alone jumped by 9%, largely due to the cessation of government subsidies. Additionally, services inflation climbed to 3.5%, with holiday travel costs rising in response to heightened demand during school holidays.

For homeowners and potential buyers, this inflationary trend has significant implications. The likelihood of the RBA implementing further interest rate cuts has diminished, with market expectations for a November rate cut dropping from 40% to just 8%. This suggests that borrowing costs may remain steady or even increase in the near future, affecting mortgage rates and overall affordability.

In this economic climate, it's crucial for borrowers to assess their financial positions carefully. Consulting with mortgage brokers can provide insights into how these inflationary trends and potential interest rate decisions might impact individual mortgage terms and repayment strategies.

Published:Friday, 31st Oct 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

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Discount Rate:
The interest rate used to determine the present value of future cash flows, often used in discounted cash flow analysis.