Australia’s Housing Dilemma: Construction Lags as Population Booms

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Hunter described a “perfect storm” facing the housing construction sector, one that has set the stage for an extended phase of rising home prices and escalating rental costs. She pointed out that Australia's pace of population growth generally surpasses that of many other advanced economies, thus intensifying the need for housing.

"The growing population strengthens the underlying demand for housing over time. Every individual added to the population needs a residence," Hunter explained.

Currently, housing demand vastly outstrips supply with the estimated necessity ranging between 260,000 to 320,000 homes per year. This figure starkly contrasts with the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council’s (NHSAC) recent report, which projects an underlying demand of about 230,000 homes, later dipping to around 174,000.

The imbalance Hunter referenced has pressured rental markets substantially, leading to lower vacancy rates and inflated rental costs. She added, “[...] the last few years have witnessed unprecedented constraints in construction activities. The shortage of materials, fittings, labor, and shipping disruptions extended build timelines significantly.”

Current dwelling approvals per capita are now at a decade-low due to high costs of building materials and stagnation in new housing projects. Hunter elucidated that many participants either delayed or scrapped their projects over concerns about their projects’ financial returns given existing costs.

Housing construction expenses have sharply increased by nearly 40% since late 2019, driven by pandemic-induced supply chain challenges and fierce competition for construction resources across various sectors.

The rising cost of debt only exacerbates the situation. Greater interest expenses on loans used to finance construction projects slow down the pace at which new houses are completed, prolonging the housing supply shortage.

Consequently, the RBA projects a sustained period of low housing construction, continuing Australia's housing crisis. Hunter indicated that demand pressures will continue to drive rents and home prices upward until there’s a notable surge in new housing supply. However, the outlook appears dim as current new dwelling approvals and viability concerns suggest a slow and delayed response.

One glaring critique is the continued overlooking of an immediate, less costly solution: moderating net overseas migration to levels within the country’s infrastructure and housing capabilities.

The latest projections from the Intergenerational Report paint a daunting picture. By 2062-63, Australia’s population is expected to skyrocket to 40.5 million, a rise of 13.5 million people equating to adding three cities the size of Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane in just under four decades.

Without addressing migration rates, Australia's efforts to counter the housing supply shortfall may never catch up with population growth. Resetting migration to historical annual levels of around 120,000 could be a crucial step in rebalancing this dynamic.

Published:Friday, 17th May 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

RIC Loan Rate Rise Adds a Fresh Planning Point for Farm Borrowers

22 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

The Regional Investment Corporation’s latest rate move is a timely reminder that farm borrowing costs can shift even when a loan is designed to provide concessional support. From 1 August 2026, the variable interest rate applying to RIC loans is set to rise from 5.18 per cent to 5.71 per cent, ending a two-year period without an increase. - read more

What ASIC’s Private Credit Alarm Means for Small Borrowers

21 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s corporate regulator has renewed attention on private credit, warning that a fast-growing part of the lending market is now facing a tougher test. Private credit generally refers to loans arranged outside the traditional banking system, often through funds, investment managers or specialist lenders. While this may sound distant from everyday small loans, the health of non-bank credit can still influence how finance is priced, assessed and made available. - read more

July Motorcycle Finance Rates: What Riders Should Know

21 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australian riders have a fresh snapshot of the motorbike finance market, with Money.com.au updating its motorcycle loan comparison guide on 20 July 2026. The table shows several advertised motorcycle and vehicle finance offers starting in the mid-five per cent range, led by a secured Harmoney car loan at 5.66% p.a. with the same comparison rate, followed closely by Liberty and MoneyPlace secured vehicle products starting from 5.67% p.a. - read more

Why Personal Loan Borrowers Need to Look Past the Advertised Rate

21 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australian borrowers comparing personal loans in July are facing a market where the headline rate can tell only part of the story. Canstar’s latest personal loan update, published on 21 July 2026, shows some competitive rates remain available, but the gap between the cheapest and most expensive unsecured offers is still substantial. - read more

ASIC’s Private Credit Warning: What It Means for Borrowers

21 Jul 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia’s fast-growing private credit market is again under the regulatory spotlight, with ASIC warning that borrowers, investors and superannuation members may be more exposed to private lending risks than many realise. The latest concern centres on a sector that has expanded as banks have become more selective, especially in areas such as property development, construction finance and specialist business lending. - read more

Click for more Finance News