RBA Remains Cautious Despite Economic Slowdown

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.

"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.

This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.

The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.

Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.

She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.

"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.

This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.

Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.

When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.

The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.

In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;

"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.

Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.

She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.

"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.

Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.

"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion - it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,” Bullock concluded.

Published:Friday, 6th Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Tasmania's Ambitious Plan to Build 4,000 New Homes

02 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Tasmanian and Commonwealth governments have recently announced a collaborative housing package designed to address the state's housing shortage and improve affordability. This initiative aims to construct approximately 4,000 new homes across Tasmania, with more than half-up to 2,101 dwellings-specifically allocated for first-home buyers. - read more

April Sees Minimal Growth in National Home Prices

02 May 2026: Paige Estritori

Recent data indicates that national home prices in Australia experienced a modest increase of 0.3% in April, marking the slowest growth rate since January 2025. This deceleration is primarily attributed to price declines in major cities such as Sydney and Melbourne, where house prices fell by 0.6% during the month. - read more

Increased Competition in Entry-Level Housing Market Amid 5% Deposit Scheme Expansion

02 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The expansion of the federal government's 5% deposit scheme has significantly influenced Australia's housing market, particularly within the entry-level segment. Recent analyses reveal that this initiative has intensified competition among first-home buyers and investors, leading to notable price increases for affordable properties. - read more

Commonwealth Bank Plans Additional Job Reductions

01 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has announced plans for further job reductions as part of its ongoing efforts to streamline operations and adapt to current market conditions. This decision follows a previous round of redundancies, leaving employees facing continued uncertainty. - read more

NAB Enhances ATM Network to Support Cash Users

01 May 2026: Paige Estritori

In a strategic move to support customers who continue to rely on cash transactions, National Australia Bank (NAB) has announced a significant investment in upgrading its ATM network. This initiative involves the deployment of hundreds of new machines across the country, ensuring that cash-dependent customers have continued access to essential banking services. - read more

Click for more Finance News