RBA Remains Cautious Despite Economic Slowdown

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.

"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.

This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.

The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.

Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.

She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.

"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.

This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.

Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.

When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.

The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.

In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;

"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.

Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.

She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.

"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.

Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.

"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion - it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,” Bullock concluded.

Published:Friday, 6th Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Isuzu Australia Enhances Customer Support with New Financial Services

06 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

In a strategic move to bolster its customer support offerings, Isuzu Australia Limited (IAL) has announced the establishment of Isuzu Financial Services Australia (IFSA). This initiative marks the first time the Isuzu Group has founded a leasing company outside Japan, reflecting a significant commitment to the Australian market. - read more

Zenobē's $100 Million Investment to Accelerate Electric Truck Adoption in Australia

05 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

Zenobē, a global leader in fleet electrification and battery storage, has announced a substantial investment of AUD $100 million to support the adoption of electric trucks in Australia. This initiative is poised to significantly impact the nation's transport sector by potentially doubling the number of heavy electric trucks on Australian roads by the end of 2026. - read more

Rising Fuel Prices Spark Increased Interest in Electric Vehicles Across Australia

05 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

As fuel prices continue to soar across Australia, a significant shift is occurring in the automotive market. Consumers are increasingly turning their attention to electric vehicles (EVs) as a cost-effective and sustainable alternative to traditional petrol and diesel cars. - read more

GWM's 1.99% Finance Offer Aims to Accelerate Electric Vehicle Adoption in Australia

05 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

Great Wall Motors (GWM) has launched a compelling finance campaign to encourage the adoption of new energy vehicles in Australia. The initiative offers a 1.99% comparison rate on its Ora electric vehicle (EV) range and Haval H6 plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) models, running from 1 September to 31 December 2025. - read more

Applied Electric Vehicles Secures $58 Million to Scale Autonomous EV Production

05 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

Melbourne-based Applied Electric Vehicles (Applied EV) has successfully secured a significant funding boost to advance the production and deployment of its autonomous electric vehicles. The company closed a Series B funding round, raising approximately A$58 million, with a substantial contribution of $30.7 million from the Australian Government's National Reconstruction Fund Corporation (NRFC). This marks the NRFC's inaugural investment in the transport sector, underscoring a commitment to fostering local manufacturing and technological innovation. - read more

Click for more Finance News