RBA Remains Cautious Despite Economic Slowdown

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.

"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.

This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.

The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.

Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.

She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.

"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.

This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.

Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.

When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.

The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.

In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;

"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.

Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.

She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.

"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.

Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.

"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion - it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,” Bullock concluded.

Published:Friday, 6th Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Exploring the 2026 Federal Budget's Impact on First Home Buyers

18 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Government's 2026 Federal Budget has unveiled a series of reforms aimed at addressing housing affordability and providing support to first home buyers. Treasurer Jim Chalmers acknowledged that the current housing market isn't working for many Australians and emphasized the need for a more equitable tax system surrounding property ownership. - read more

Understanding the Emerging Correction in Australia's Housing Market

18 May 2026: Paige Estritori

Recent data indicates that Australia's housing market is entering a phase of correction, with property prices beginning to decline in several regions. This shift is largely attributed to consecutive interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and ongoing affordability challenges faced by buyers. - read more

Reserve Bank Lifts Cash Rate to 4.35% in May 2026

17 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35% during its May 2026 meeting. This marks the third consecutive rate hike this year, following increases in February and March, as the central bank intensifies efforts to curb escalating inflation. - read more

Commonwealth Bank Shares Experience Record One-Day Decline

17 May 2026: Paige Estritori

On May 13, 2026, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) experienced a significant market setback, with its shares plummeting by 10.4% in a single day. This decline represents the largest one-day fall in the bank's history, surpassing the previous record set during the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020. - read more

Understanding the 2026 Federal Budget: What It Means for You

17 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian government has unveiled the 2026 Federal Budget, introducing a series of measures aimed at bolstering economic resilience and providing relief to citizens amidst global challenges. Here's a breakdown of the key initiatives and their implications for Australians. - read more

Click for more Finance News